Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight trader consensus around 15-17°C (each ~27.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 23, projecting a midday peak near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds. This edges out cooler options (11-14°C at ~25.5%) amid a weakening cold front from northern China, with historical late-March averages at 14-15°C but recent anomalies pushing +1°C warmer due to jet stream ridging. Differentiating factors include potential low-level moisture reducing insolation for sub-15°C outcomes versus clearer afternoons favoring 17°C+, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration resolving the market by UTC midnight. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 23?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 23?
15°C 28%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
11°C or below 26%
11°C or below
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C or higher
26%
15°C 28%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
11°C or below 26%
11°C or below
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight trader consensus around 15-17°C (each ~27.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 23, projecting a midday peak near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds. This edges out cooler options (11-14°C at ~25.5%) amid a weakening cold front from northern China, with historical late-March averages at 14-15°C but recent anomalies pushing +1°C warmer due to jet stream ridging. Differentiating factors include potential low-level moisture reducing insolation for sub-15°C outcomes versus clearer afternoons favoring 17°C+, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration resolving the market by UTC midnight. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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