Recent forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to Wuhan's highest temperature on March 20 clustering tightly around 13-15°C, driving trader consensus with near-even implied probabilities above 40% for these outcomes amid a persistent cool northerly airflow from Siberian high pressure. This differentiates them from slightly warmer 16-18°C+ bets (under 40%) due to expected cloud cover and light winds suppressing daytime heating, while sub-13°C odds plummet below 1% given baseline March averages of 15°C and minimal cold front risk per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Uncertainty lingers in microscale urban heat effects and final soundings, with key updates due 24 hours out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 20 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 20 марта?
18°C или выше 78%
17°C 72%
15°C 41%
16°C 37%
$10,061 Объем
$10,061 Объем
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
46%
14°C
43%
15°C
41%
16°C
37%
17°C
72%
18°C или выше
78%
18°C или выше 78%
17°C 72%
15°C 41%
16°C 37%
$10,061 Объем
$10,061 Объем
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
46%
14°C
43%
15°C
41%
16°C
37%
17°C
72%
18°C или выше
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to Wuhan's highest temperature on March 20 clustering tightly around 13-15°C, driving trader consensus with near-even implied probabilities above 40% for these outcomes amid a persistent cool northerly airflow from Siberian high pressure. This differentiates them from slightly warmer 16-18°C+ bets (under 40%) due to expected cloud cover and light winds suppressing daytime heating, while sub-13°C odds plummet below 1% given baseline March averages of 15°C and minimal cold front risk per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Uncertainty lingers in microscale urban heat effects and final soundings, with key updates due 24 hours out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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