Trader sentiment on Wellington's highest temperature for March 22 clusters tightly around 19°C and 20°C, driven by MetService's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerlies boosting mild conditions. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show mean projections of 19.5–20.5°C, with spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze intensity—key differentiators as thicker low cloud could cap peaks at 19°C, while clearer intervals favor 20–21°C. Historical March maxima average 20°C, but recent southerly outflows have tempered optimism for 21°C+, aligning trader consensus with these narrow model divergences ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 22 марта?
20°C 30%
19°C 29%
21°C 17%
18°C 14%
$84,717 Объем
$84,717 Объем
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C или выше
5%
20°C 30%
19°C 29%
21°C 17%
18°C 14%
$84,717 Объем
$84,717 Объем
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wellington's highest temperature for March 22 clusters tightly around 19°C and 20°C, driven by MetService's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerlies boosting mild conditions. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show mean projections of 19.5–20.5°C, with spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze intensity—key differentiators as thicker low cloud could cap peaks at 19°C, while clearer intervals favor 20–21°C. Historical March maxima average 20°C, but recent southerly outflows have tempered optimism for 21°C+, aligning trader consensus with these narrow model divergences ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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