Trader sentiment for Chengdu's March 22 high temperature remains fragmented, with 23°C edging ahead at 26% amid divergent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing equal probabilities across 18-27°C. Spring transitional patterns in the Sichuan Basin amplify uncertainty, as southerly winds could advect warmth above 24°C while a potential cold front risks capping peaks at 17-20°C, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Historical March 22 highs average 20°C at Shuangliu station, with 5°C interannual variability from topographic inversions and urban heat effects; yesterday's 18°C max underscores cloudy persistence. Traders watch today's 00Z model runs for shifts in boundary timing, as official hourly observations will resolve precise maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 22?
23°C 26%
17°C или ниже 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
17°C или ниже
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C или выше
26%
23°C 26%
17°C или ниже 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
17°C или ниже
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C или выше
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's March 22 high temperature remains fragmented, with 23°C edging ahead at 26% amid divergent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing equal probabilities across 18-27°C. Spring transitional patterns in the Sichuan Basin amplify uncertainty, as southerly winds could advect warmth above 24°C while a potential cold front risks capping peaks at 17-20°C, per China Meteorological Administration guidance. Historical March 22 highs average 20°C at Shuangliu station, with 5°C interannual variability from topographic inversions and urban heat effects; yesterday's 18°C max underscores cloudy persistence. Traders watch today's 00Z model runs for shifts in boundary timing, as official hourly observations will resolve precise maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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