Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Shenzhen on March 20, driven by ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF projecting peaks of 30–32°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies. Recent observations show daytime highs already exceeding 28°C this week, aligning with historical March outliers during El Niño-influenced warmth, where Shenzhen has hit 31°C previously. Supporting data from satellite-derived heat indices and radiosonde profiles confirm low humidity and strong solar insolation. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen marine layer influx or sudden trough development, though probabilities remain below 1% per forecast uncertainty metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 20 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 20 марта?
$31,406 Объем
$31,406 Объем
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
100%
$31,406 Объем
$31,406 Объем
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Shenzhen on March 20, driven by ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF projecting peaks of 30–32°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies. Recent observations show daytime highs already exceeding 28°C this week, aligning with historical March outliers during El Niño-influenced warmth, where Shenzhen has hit 31°C previously. Supporting data from satellite-derived heat indices and radiosonde profiles confirm low humidity and strong solar insolation. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen marine layer influx or sudden trough development, though probabilities remain below 1% per forecast uncertainty metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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