Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-85°F for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, driven by National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 82°F under persistent high pressure and east winds limiting sea breeze incursions. These easterly flows, common in early April amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, promote sunny skies and highs 1-3°F above the 81°F climatological average, but slight variations in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread between 80-81°F (27%) and 84-85°F (31.5%). New 12z model updates and NWS forecasts expected today could refine this, as three-day outlook uncertainty remains around ±2°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
73°F or below
$526 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$255 Объем
2%
76-77°F
$207 Объем
2%
78-79°F
$303 Объем
5%
80-81°F
$737 Объем
23%
82-83°F
$369 Объем
30%
84-85°F
$423 Объем
32%
86-87°F
$354 Объем
15%
88-89°F
$489 Объем
1%
90-91°F
$458 Объем
1%
92°F or higher
$469 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-85°F for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, driven by National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 82°F under persistent high pressure and east winds limiting sea breeze incursions. These easterly flows, common in early April amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, promote sunny skies and highs 1-3°F above the 81°F climatological average, but slight variations in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread between 80-81°F (27%) and 84-85°F (31.5%). New 12z model updates and NWS forecasts expected today could refine this, as three-day outlook uncertainty remains around ±2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$4,589Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-85°F for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, driven by National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 82°F under persistent high pressure and east winds limiting sea breeze incursions. These easterly flows, common in early April amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, promote sunny skies and highs 1-3°F above the 81°F climatological average, but slight variations in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread between 80-81°F (27%) and 84-85°F (31.5%). New 12z model updates and NWS forecasts expected today could refine this, as three-day outlook uncertainty remains around ±2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,589Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-85°F for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, driven by National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 82°F under persistent high pressure and east winds limiting sea breeze incursions. These easterly flows, common in early April amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, promote sunny skies and highs 1-3°F above the 81°F climatological average, but slight variations in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread between 80-81°F (27%) and 84-85°F (31.5%). New 12z model updates and NWS forecasts expected today could refine this, as three-day outlook uncertainty remains around ±2°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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