Forecasts from meteorological services and models point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 8, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.6% implied probability for that exact outcome. Long-term August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid humid subtropical conditions, and recent model runs have converged on stable temperatures without significant heatwave intensification or widespread cooling from precipitation. Official observations will determine resolution based on the day's peak reading. Unanticipated shifts in steering patterns, stronger afternoon thunderstorms, or revised model guidance could still push the high to 32°C or above, though such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 8 августа?
31°C 99.5%
32°C or higher <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$10,080 Объем
$10,080 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C or higher <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$10,080 Объем
$10,080 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from meteorological services and models point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 8, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.6% implied probability for that exact outcome. Long-term August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–32°C amid humid subtropical conditions, and recent model runs have converged on stable temperatures without significant heatwave intensification or widespread cooling from precipitation. Official observations will determine resolution based on the day's peak reading. Unanticipated shifts in steering patterns, stronger afternoon thunderstorms, or revised model guidance could still push the high to 32°C or above, though such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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