United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Republic of Karelia Legislative Assembly election held September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its entrenched position through the mixed electoral system of 18 party-list seats and 18 single-mandate districts. Preliminary party-list results show the party ahead at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People, while its candidates dominate constituency races as in prior cycles. This structure, combined with the party's regional organizational strength and the timing alongside national Duma voting, underpins trader consensus on its seat majority. Limited scope exists for other parties to close the gap absent major late shifts in district outcomes or turnout patterns, though the final seat allocation depends on complete single-mandate counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 100%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$7,079 Объем
$7,079 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
Yes
CPRF
No
LDPR
No
A Just Russia
No
New People
No
Party of Pensioners
No
Communists of Russia
No
Rodina
No
Yabloko
No
The Greens
No
United Russia 100%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$7,079 Объем
$7,079 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
$1,606 Объем
Yes
CPRF
$485 Объем
No
LDPR
$752 Объем
No
A Just Russia
$443 Объем
No
New People
$714 Объем
No
Party of Pensioners
$398 Объем
No
Communists of Russia
$367 Объем
No
Rodina
$890 Объем
No
Yabloko
$864 Объем
No
The Greens
$560 Объем
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Republic of Karelia Legislative Assembly election held September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its entrenched position through the mixed electoral system of 18 party-list seats and 18 single-mandate districts. Preliminary party-list results show the party ahead at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People, while its candidates dominate constituency races as in prior cycles. This structure, combined with the party's regional organizational strength and the timing alongside national Duma voting, underpins trader consensus on its seat majority. Limited scope exists for other parties to close the gap absent major late shifts in district outcomes or turnout patterns, though the final seat allocation depends on complete single-mandate counts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Объем
$7,079Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Republic of Karelia Legislative Assembly election held September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its entrenched position through the mixed electoral system of 18 party-list seats and 18 single-mandate districts. Preliminary party-list results show the party ahead at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People, while its candidates dominate constituency races as in prior cycles. This structure, combined with the party's regional organizational strength and the timing alongside national Duma voting, underpins trader consensus on its seat majority. Limited scope exists for other parties to close the gap absent major late shifts in district outcomes or turnout patterns, though the final seat allocation depends on complete single-mandate counts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$7,079Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Republic of Karelia Legislative Assembly election held September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its entrenched position through the mixed electoral system of 18 party-list seats and 18 single-mandate districts. Preliminary party-list results show the party ahead at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People, while its candidates dominate constituency races as in prior cycles. This structure, combined with the party's regional organizational strength and the timing alongside national Duma voting, underpins trader consensus on its seat majority. Limited scope exists for other parties to close the gap absent major late shifts in district outcomes or turnout patterns, though the final seat allocation depends on complete single-mandate counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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