Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 8 minimum temperature centers on persistent summer heat and limited overnight cooling from high humidity, cloud cover, and possible thunderstorms. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C with elevated dew points sustaining muggy conditions that reduce radiative heat loss at night, favoring minimums of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows subtle differences in rainfall timing and wind patterns, which could either enhance or suppress cooling enough to shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average around 26°C, but current above-normal warmth and weak steering flow keep probabilities tightly clustered around the top three outcomes ahead of updated regional model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 8 августа?
28°C 43%
29°C 40%
27°C 9%
26°C 5%
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
43%
29°C
40%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
28°C 43%
29°C 40%
27°C 9%
26°C 5%
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
43%
29°C
40%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 8 minimum temperature centers on persistent summer heat and limited overnight cooling from high humidity, cloud cover, and possible thunderstorms. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C with elevated dew points sustaining muggy conditions that reduce radiative heat loss at night, favoring minimums of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows subtle differences in rainfall timing and wind patterns, which could either enhance or suppress cooling enough to shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average around 26°C, but current above-normal warmth and weak steering flow keep probabilities tightly clustered around the top three outcomes ahead of updated regional model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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