Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, sustained by a strong high-pressure ridge and predominantly clear skies, are keeping overnight lows in the Seoul-Incheon region elevated near 27–28°C and anchoring the closely matched market-implied odds for the August 8 minimum. Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show limited radiative cooling overnight due to high humidity and urban heat-island effects, while a chance of isolated thunderstorms late on the 8th introduces minor uncertainty—any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave 1°C off the low without altering the overall warm pattern. Historical August climatology for Incheon places typical morning minima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly; fresh short-range updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models will be the next key data points likely to shift positioning between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 8 августа?
27°C 38%
28°C 37%
26°C 17%
25°C 8%
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
38%
28°C
37%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
1%
27°C 38%
28°C 37%
26°C 17%
25°C 8%
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
38%
28°C
37%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, sustained by a strong high-pressure ridge and predominantly clear skies, are keeping overnight lows in the Seoul-Incheon region elevated near 27–28°C and anchoring the closely matched market-implied odds for the August 8 minimum. Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show limited radiative cooling overnight due to high humidity and urban heat-island effects, while a chance of isolated thunderstorms late on the 8th introduces minor uncertainty—any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave 1°C off the low without altering the overall warm pattern. Historical August climatology for Incheon places typical morning minima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly; fresh short-range updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models will be the next key data points likely to shift positioning between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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