Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability of no change to the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient labor market data and persistent inflation pressures. March unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest job gains, while consumer price inflation remained elevated per recent Fed minutes, tempering rate cut expectations amid oil price spikes from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict. Chair Powell's late-March remarks signaled potential for zero cuts in 2026, aligning with the March FOMC's hold and single-cut projection. Realistic challenges include a surprise downside surprise in upcoming April CPI or nonfarm payrolls data, though current trends reinforce the pause.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนเมษายน?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนเมษายน?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 99.4%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 25 จุดฐาน <1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
$110,426,515 ปริมาณ
$110,426,515 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
99%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 25 จุดฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 99.4%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 25 จุดฐาน <1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
$110,426,515 ปริมาณ
$110,426,515 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$41,745,082 ปริมาณ
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$21,389,493 ปริมาณ
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$21,993,410 ปริมาณ
99%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 25 จุดฐาน
$25,299,668 ปริมาณ
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability of no change to the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient labor market data and persistent inflation pressures. March unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest job gains, while consumer price inflation remained elevated per recent Fed minutes, tempering rate cut expectations amid oil price spikes from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict. Chair Powell's late-March remarks signaled potential for zero cuts in 2026, aligning with the March FOMC's hold and single-cut projection. Realistic challenges include a surprise downside surprise in upcoming April CPI or nonfarm payrolls data, though current trends reinforce the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,426,515วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability of no change to the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient labor market data and persistent inflation pressures. March unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest job gains, while consumer price inflation remained elevated per recent Fed minutes, tempering rate cut expectations amid oil price spikes from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict. Chair Powell's late-March remarks signaled potential for zero cuts in 2026, aligning with the March FOMC's hold and single-cut projection. Realistic challenges include a surprise downside surprise in upcoming April CPI or nonfarm payrolls data, though current trends reinforce the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,426,515วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability of no change to the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient labor market data and persistent inflation pressures. March unemployment held steady at 4.3% with modest job gains, while consumer price inflation remained elevated per recent Fed minutes, tempering rate cut expectations amid oil price spikes from geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict. Chair Powell's late-March remarks signaled potential for zero cuts in 2026, aligning with the March FOMC's hold and single-cut projection. Realistic challenges include a surprise downside surprise in upcoming April CPI or nonfarm payrolls data, though current trends reinforce the pause.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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