Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient economic data that has solidified the policy pause at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February and the hottest since May 2024—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, edging unemployment to 4.3%; March FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed officials raising 2026 inflation forecasts amid war-related oil shocks and openness to hikes. This skin-in-the-game consensus could shift if upcoming April CPI (May 12) or nonfarm payrolls signal disinflation or labor softening ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนมิถุนายน?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนมิถุนายน?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 93%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 5%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน 1.0%
$8,546,104 ปริมาณ
$8,546,104 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
5%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
2%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 93%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 5%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน 1.0%
$8,546,104 ปริมาณ
$8,546,104 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$2,452,968 ปริมาณ
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$1,295,115 ปริมาณ
5%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$1,583,027 ปริมาณ
93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$1,732,433 ปริมาณ
2%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$1,482,561 ปริมาณ
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient economic data that has solidified the policy pause at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February and the hottest since May 2024—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, edging unemployment to 4.3%; March FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed officials raising 2026 inflation forecasts amid war-related oil shocks and openness to hikes. This skin-in-the-game consensus could shift if upcoming April CPI (May 12) or nonfarm payrolls signal disinflation or labor softening ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,546,104วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient economic data that has solidified the policy pause at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February and the hottest since May 2024—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, edging unemployment to 4.3%; March FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed officials raising 2026 inflation forecasts amid war-related oil shocks and openness to hikes. This skin-in-the-game consensus could shift if upcoming April CPI (May 12) or nonfarm payrolls signal disinflation or labor softening ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,546,104วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting resilient economic data that has solidified the policy pause at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February and the hottest since May 2024—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, edging unemployment to 4.3%; March FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed officials raising 2026 inflation forecasts amid war-related oil shocks and openness to hikes. This skin-in-the-game consensus could shift if upcoming April CPI (May 12) or nonfarm payrolls signal disinflation or labor softening ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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