Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 60%
34°C 17%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
60%
34°C
17%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 60%
34°C 17%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$62 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$398 ปริมาณ
60%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$57 ปริมาณ
8%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$564วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$564วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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