Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 25, with highs expected in the 20–23°C range as a frontal system brings cooler, moist air. This pattern suppresses daytime warming compared to the prior week’s 30°C peaks, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for 22°C or below. Consensus across sources shows minimal model spread on the upper bound, though exact maxima depend on rainfall timing and cloud cover. September climatology features average highs near 27°C, but the current setup deviates sharply due to regional circulation changes, with final readings potentially revised by official Chinese Meteorological Administration data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 25?
22°C or below 50%
23°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
22°C or below
50%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 50%
23°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
22°C or below
50%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 25, with highs expected in the 20–23°C range as a frontal system brings cooler, moist air. This pattern suppresses daytime warming compared to the prior week’s 30°C peaks, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for 22°C or below. Consensus across sources shows minimal model spread on the upper bound, though exact maxima depend on rainfall timing and cloud cover. September climatology features average highs near 27°C, but the current setup deviates sharply due to regional circulation changes, with final readings potentially revised by official Chinese Meteorological Administration data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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