Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
8°C or below 88%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 49%
10°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
88%
9°C
24%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
24%
15°C
2%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C or higher
59%
8°C or below 88%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 49%
10°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
88%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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