**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 13 stems from a transitioning synoptic pattern, with a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to cooler northwest flow and possible showers.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs place the expected low near 10–12 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 9.7 °C for the date. However, modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover keeps both sub-7 °C and 14+ °C outcomes viable, explaining the near-even 50 % market-implied odds on the extremes. Historical extremes for September 13 range from 1.2 °C (1973) to 20.7 °C (2002), underscoring the potential for rapid shifts. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any FMI nowcasting adjustments through the weekend for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13?
6°C or below 96%
16°C or higher 96%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C or below
96%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
96%
6°C or below 96%
16°C or higher 96%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C or below
96%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 13 stems from a transitioning synoptic pattern, with a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to cooler northwest flow and possible showers.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs place the expected low near 10–12 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 9.7 °C for the date. However, modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover keeps both sub-7 °C and 14+ °C outcomes viable, explaining the near-even 50 % market-implied odds on the extremes. Historical extremes for September 13 range from 1.2 °C (1973) to 20.7 °C (2002), underscoring the potential for rapid shifts. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any FMI nowcasting adjustments through the weekend for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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