Recent monsoon activity and cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Lucknow’s August 26 minimum temperature. Official forecasts show overnight lows clustered near 26 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity, yet model spread on rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty between a cooler outcome (enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming) and a warmer one (partial clearing allowing more heat retention). Historical August climatology places typical minima around 26–28 °C, with deviations driven by steering patterns and convective outbreaks rather than long-term trends. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying landfall timing of any associated systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 53%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
53%
23°C
34%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
32%
27°C
42%
28°C
25%
29°C
48%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
53%
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 53%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Lucknow’s August 26 minimum temperature. Official forecasts show overnight lows clustered near 26 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity, yet model spread on rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty between a cooler outcome (enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming) and a warmer one (partial clearing allowing more heat retention). Historical August climatology places typical minima around 26–28 °C, with deviations driven by steering patterns and convective outbreaks rather than long-term trends. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying landfall timing of any associated systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Lucknow’s August 26 minimum temperature. Official forecasts show overnight lows clustered near 26 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity, yet model spread on rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty between a cooler outcome (enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming) and a warmer one (partial clearing allowing more heat retention). Historical August climatology places typical minima around 26–28 °C, with deviations driven by steering patterns and convective outbreaks rather than long-term trends. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying landfall timing of any associated systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Lucknow’s August 26 minimum temperature. Official forecasts show overnight lows clustered near 26 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity, yet model spread on rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty between a cooler outcome (enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming) and a warmer one (partial clearing allowing more heat retention). Historical August climatology places typical minima around 26–28 °C, with deviations driven by steering patterns and convective outbreaks rather than long-term trends. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying landfall timing of any associated systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย