Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
7°C or below 92%
12°C 89%
17°C or higher 55%
8°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
92%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
89%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C
2%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 92%
12°C 89%
17°C or higher 55%
8°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
92%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
89%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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