**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
12°C or higher 49%
2°C or below 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
48%
3°C
15%
4°C
40%
5°C
25%
6°C
26%
7°C
30%
8°C
24%
9°C
24%
10°C
40%
11°C
15%
12°C or higher
49%
12°C or higher 49%
2°C or below 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
3°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
4°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
12°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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