**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,077 ปริมาณ
$3,077 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,077 ปริมาณ
$3,077 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$224 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$417 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$224 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$182 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$224 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$337 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$224 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$217 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$530 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$160 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$339 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,077วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,077วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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