With incumbent Democrat Janet Mills term-limited after two terms, the open-seat Maine gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting the state's consistent blue tilt—evident in Mills's 2022 14-point re-election win amid ranked-choice voting—and recent primary polls showing former DHHS Commissioner Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic field with 25-35% support across University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Associates surveys updated as of April 17. Republican former Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles holds a narrower edge in GOP primary polls at 28%, but traders see limited path to victory in the November 3 general election without major shifts. The June 9 primaries remain the next key catalyst, though late scandals or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMaine Governor Election Winner
Maine Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$3,510 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican
$3,053 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With incumbent Democrat Janet Mills term-limited after two terms, the open-seat Maine gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting the state's consistent blue tilt—evident in Mills's 2022 14-point re-election win amid ranked-choice voting—and recent primary polls showing former DHHS Commissioner Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic field with 25-35% support across University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Associates surveys updated as of April 17. Republican former Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles holds a narrower edge in GOP primary polls at 28%, but traders see limited path to victory in the November 3 general election without major shifts. The June 9 primaries remain the next key catalyst, though late scandals or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,563วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With incumbent Democrat Janet Mills term-limited after two terms, the open-seat Maine gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting the state's consistent blue tilt—evident in Mills's 2022 14-point re-election win amid ranked-choice voting—and recent primary polls showing former DHHS Commissioner Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic field with 25-35% support across University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Associates surveys updated as of April 17. Republican former Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles holds a narrower edge in GOP primary polls at 28%, but traders see limited path to victory in the November 3 general election without major shifts. The June 9 primaries remain the next key catalyst, though late scandals or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,563วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With incumbent Democrat Janet Mills term-limited after two terms, the open-seat Maine gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting the state's consistent blue tilt—evident in Mills's 2022 14-point re-election win amid ranked-choice voting—and recent primary polls showing former DHHS Commissioner Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic field with 25-35% support across University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Associates surveys updated as of April 17. Republican former Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles holds a narrower edge in GOP primary polls at 28%, but traders see limited path to victory in the November 3 general election without major shifts. The June 9 primaries remain the next key catalyst, though late scandals or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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