Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 80% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite to succeed term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a 5- to 9-point lead over Republican nominee John James, reflecting Democratic advantages in Michigan's urban and suburban voter base along with her established profile as secretary of state. James's primary victory consolidated Republican support but has not yet closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. The May withdrawal of independent Mike Duggan further clarified the race into a two-party contest favoring the Democratic side. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assigning an 85.5% implied probability to a Democratic win.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 86%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$198,019 ปริมาณ
$198,019 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
86%
Republican
15%
Independent
1%
Democrat 86%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$198,019 ปริมาณ
$198,019 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$47,149 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican
$150,254 ปริมาณ
15%
Independent
$616 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 80% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite to succeed term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a 5- to 9-point lead over Republican nominee John James, reflecting Democratic advantages in Michigan's urban and suburban voter base along with her established profile as secretary of state. James's primary victory consolidated Republican support but has not yet closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. The May withdrawal of independent Mike Duggan further clarified the race into a two-party contest favoring the Democratic side. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assigning an 85.5% implied probability to a Democratic win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$198,019วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 80% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite to succeed term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a 5- to 9-point lead over Republican nominee John James, reflecting Democratic advantages in Michigan's urban and suburban voter base along with her established profile as secretary of state. James's primary victory consolidated Republican support but has not yet closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. The May withdrawal of independent Mike Duggan further clarified the race into a two-party contest favoring the Democratic side. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assigning an 85.5% implied probability to a Democratic win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$198,019วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 80% of the vote, positioning her as the clear favorite to succeed term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a 5- to 9-point lead over Republican nominee John James, reflecting Democratic advantages in Michigan's urban and suburban voter base along with her established profile as secretary of state. James's primary victory consolidated Republican support but has not yet closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. The May withdrawal of independent Mike Duggan further clarified the race into a two-party contest favoring the Democratic side. Traders appear to weigh these structural and polling factors heavily when assigning an 85.5% implied probability to a Democratic win.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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