Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a commanding trader consensus edge in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's 40-year Democratic grip on the governorship and her structural incumbency advantages despite low approval ratings and lost endorsements from former allies in March. Early February FM3 Research polls of likely voters showed Kotek leading top Republican primary contenders—Christine Drazan (45-40), Ed Diehl (43-37), and Chris Dudley (45-35)—by mid-single digits, with significant undecideds amid a fragmented GOP field of over 15 candidates ahead of the May 19 primaries. A recent Republican debate on April 17 spotlighted divisions, as post-debate polling named Diehl the perceived winner but saw underdog Danielle Bethell double her support to 23%, failing to produce a clear general-election threat and reinforcing the 87% implied probability for a Democratic victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOregon Governor Election Winner
Oregon Governor Election Winner
$11,913 ปริมาณ
$11,913 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
87%
Republican
13%
$11,913 ปริมาณ
$11,913 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$6,142 ปริมาณ
87%
Republican
$5,770 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a commanding trader consensus edge in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's 40-year Democratic grip on the governorship and her structural incumbency advantages despite low approval ratings and lost endorsements from former allies in March. Early February FM3 Research polls of likely voters showed Kotek leading top Republican primary contenders—Christine Drazan (45-40), Ed Diehl (43-37), and Chris Dudley (45-35)—by mid-single digits, with significant undecideds amid a fragmented GOP field of over 15 candidates ahead of the May 19 primaries. A recent Republican debate on April 17 spotlighted divisions, as post-debate polling named Diehl the perceived winner but saw underdog Danielle Bethell double her support to 23%, failing to produce a clear general-election threat and reinforcing the 87% implied probability for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,913วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a commanding trader consensus edge in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's 40-year Democratic grip on the governorship and her structural incumbency advantages despite low approval ratings and lost endorsements from former allies in March. Early February FM3 Research polls of likely voters showed Kotek leading top Republican primary contenders—Christine Drazan (45-40), Ed Diehl (43-37), and Chris Dudley (45-35)—by mid-single digits, with significant undecideds amid a fragmented GOP field of over 15 candidates ahead of the May 19 primaries. A recent Republican debate on April 17 spotlighted divisions, as post-debate polling named Diehl the perceived winner but saw underdog Danielle Bethell double her support to 23%, failing to produce a clear general-election threat and reinforcing the 87% implied probability for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,913วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a commanding trader consensus edge in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's 40-year Democratic grip on the governorship and her structural incumbency advantages despite low approval ratings and lost endorsements from former allies in March. Early February FM3 Research polls of likely voters showed Kotek leading top Republican primary contenders—Christine Drazan (45-40), Ed Diehl (43-37), and Chris Dudley (45-35)—by mid-single digits, with significant undecideds amid a fragmented GOP field of over 15 candidates ahead of the May 19 primaries. A recent Republican debate on April 17 spotlighted divisions, as post-debate polling named Diehl the perceived winner but saw underdog Danielle Bethell double her support to 23%, failing to produce a clear general-election threat and reinforcing the 87% implied probability for a Democratic victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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