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Nayarit Governor Election Winner

icon for Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Héctor Santana García 30.9%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.5%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.0%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%

Polymarket

$30,826 Vol.

Héctor Santana García 30.9%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.5%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.0%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%

Polymarket

$30,826 Vol.

icon for Héctor Santana García

Héctor Santana García

$2,013 Vol.

31%

icon for Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

$2,094 Vol.

25%

icon for Geraldine Ponce Méndez

Geraldine Ponce Méndez

$9,306 Vol.

13%

icon for Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

$515 Vol.

10%

icon for Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

$370 Vol.

6%

icon for Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

$450 Vol.

3%

icon for Pavel Jarero Velázquez

Pavel Jarero Velázquez

$400 Vol.

3%

icon for Manuel Cota Jiménez

Manuel Cota Jiménez

$429 Vol.

2%

icon for Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

$429 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Zamora Carrillo

Luis Zamora Carrillo

$417 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

$2,824 Vol.

1%

icon for Citlalli Rubí Huerta

Citlalli Rubí Huerta

$391 Vol.

1%

icon for Gloria Núñez Sánchez

Gloria Núñez Sánchez

$349 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nadia Ramírez López

Nadia Ramírez López

$387 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

$386 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Ramón Cambero Pérez

José Ramón Cambero Pérez

$391 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Antonio Barajas López

José Antonio Barajas López

$445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paola Vargas Arciniega

Paola Vargas Arciniega

$370 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Elizabeth López Blanco

María Elizabeth López Blanco

$385 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ignacio Flores Medina

Ignacio Flores Medina

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

$493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Díaz López

Enrique Díaz López

$366 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nayarit gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field inside the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM alliance that holds roughly 50% aggregate preference in recent surveys. Héctor Santana García leads internal Morena polling in multiple measurements, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and others, though high undecided shares and the absence of finalized nominees keep implied probabilities compressed across contenders. Opposition parties including PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly and have yet to consolidate strong standard-bearers. Recent state-level polling and the incumbent administration’s September 2026 report on economic growth and security trends have not materially shifted positioning. Completion of the Morena coalition’s internal selection process, formal party tickets, or clearer statewide surveys could produce separation among the listed aspirants.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$30,826
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nayarit gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field inside the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM alliance that holds roughly 50% aggregate preference in recent surveys. Héctor Santana García leads internal Morena polling in multiple measurements, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and others, though high undecided shares and the absence of finalized nominees keep implied probabilities compressed across contenders. Opposition parties including PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly and have yet to consolidate strong standard-bearers. Recent state-level polling and the incumbent administration’s September 2026 report on economic growth and security trends have not materially shifted positioning. Completion of the Morena coalition’s internal selection process, formal party tickets, or clearer statewide surveys could produce separation among the listed aspirants.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$30,826
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 7, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 22 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Héctor Santana García" sa 39%, sinusundan ng "Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 39¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $30.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nayarit Governor Election Winner," i-browse ang 22 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" ay "Héctor Santana García" sa 39%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.