Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability in Alabama's open gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's dominant position in Republican primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, where he leads with 63% support per recent Quantus Insights data updated April 15. Incumbent Gov. Kay Ivey's term limit opens the field in this Solid Republican state, where no Democrat has won statewide since 1994 amid GOP control of all levers of power, supermajority legislature, and strong fundraising edges like Tuberville's $11.8 million versus Democrats' weaker field led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A November 2025 Cygnal poll showed Tuberville topping Jones 53%-34% in a general matchup. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise yielding a flawed nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore steep barriers to a Democratic win.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlabama Governor Election Winner
Alabama Governor Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
6%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican
$2,312 Hac.
93%
Democrat
$1,711 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability in Alabama's open gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's dominant position in Republican primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, where he leads with 63% support per recent Quantus Insights data updated April 15. Incumbent Gov. Kay Ivey's term limit opens the field in this Solid Republican state, where no Democrat has won statewide since 1994 amid GOP control of all levers of power, supermajority legislature, and strong fundraising edges like Tuberville's $11.8 million versus Democrats' weaker field led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A November 2025 Cygnal poll showed Tuberville topping Jones 53%-34% in a general matchup. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise yielding a flawed nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore steep barriers to a Democratic win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Hacim
$4,022Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability in Alabama's open gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's dominant position in Republican primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, where he leads with 63% support per recent Quantus Insights data updated April 15. Incumbent Gov. Kay Ivey's term limit opens the field in this Solid Republican state, where no Democrat has won statewide since 1994 amid GOP control of all levers of power, supermajority legislature, and strong fundraising edges like Tuberville's $11.8 million versus Democrats' weaker field led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A November 2025 Cygnal poll showed Tuberville topping Jones 53%-34% in a general matchup. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise yielding a flawed nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore steep barriers to a Democratic win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$4,022Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability in Alabama's open gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's dominant position in Republican primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, where he leads with 63% support per recent Quantus Insights data updated April 15. Incumbent Gov. Kay Ivey's term limit opens the field in this Solid Republican state, where no Democrat has won statewide since 1994 amid GOP control of all levers of power, supermajority legislature, and strong fundraising edges like Tuberville's $11.8 million versus Democrats' weaker field led by ex-Sen. Doug Jones. A November 2025 Cygnal poll showed Tuberville topping Jones 53%-34% in a general matchup. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise yielding a flawed nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore steep barriers to a Democratic win.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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