Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a polling edge in the Arizona gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing her ahead of leading Republican primary contender Rep. Andy Biggs by 5 points (42%-37%, Noble Predictive Insights, late February 2026) and larger margins over Rep. David Schweikert, fueling trader consensus at 77.5% for a Democratic win despite the battleground state's competitiveness. Biggs solidified his primary lead at 52% in a NextGen poll (April 13-16, likely voters), but his polarizing profile limits general election appeal amid Hobbs' incumbency advantage and Arizona's narrow Democratic statewide victories in recent cycles. Sabato's Crystal Ball recently shifted to Lean Democrat, though odds exceed polling-implied probabilities around 55%; the July 21 primary could clarify the matchup before November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiArizona Valisi Seçimi Kazananı
Arizona Valisi Seçimi Kazananı
$40,618 Hac.
$40,618 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
78%
Cumhuriyetçi
22%
$40,618 Hac.
$40,618 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
$21,510 Hac.
78%
Cumhuriyetçi
$19,108 Hac.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a polling edge in the Arizona gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing her ahead of leading Republican primary contender Rep. Andy Biggs by 5 points (42%-37%, Noble Predictive Insights, late February 2026) and larger margins over Rep. David Schweikert, fueling trader consensus at 77.5% for a Democratic win despite the battleground state's competitiveness. Biggs solidified his primary lead at 52% in a NextGen poll (April 13-16, likely voters), but his polarizing profile limits general election appeal amid Hobbs' incumbency advantage and Arizona's narrow Democratic statewide victories in recent cycles. Sabato's Crystal Ball recently shifted to Lean Democrat, though odds exceed polling-implied probabilities around 55%; the July 21 primary could clarify the matchup before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Hacim
$40,618Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a polling edge in the Arizona gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing her ahead of leading Republican primary contender Rep. Andy Biggs by 5 points (42%-37%, Noble Predictive Insights, late February 2026) and larger margins over Rep. David Schweikert, fueling trader consensus at 77.5% for a Democratic win despite the battleground state's competitiveness. Biggs solidified his primary lead at 52% in a NextGen poll (April 13-16, likely voters), but his polarizing profile limits general election appeal amid Hobbs' incumbency advantage and Arizona's narrow Democratic statewide victories in recent cycles. Sabato's Crystal Ball recently shifted to Lean Democrat, though odds exceed polling-implied probabilities around 55%; the July 21 primary could clarify the matchup before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$40,618Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a polling edge in the Arizona gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing her ahead of leading Republican primary contender Rep. Andy Biggs by 5 points (42%-37%, Noble Predictive Insights, late February 2026) and larger margins over Rep. David Schweikert, fueling trader consensus at 77.5% for a Democratic win despite the battleground state's competitiveness. Biggs solidified his primary lead at 52% in a NextGen poll (April 13-16, likely voters), but his polarizing profile limits general election appeal amid Hobbs' incumbency advantage and Arizona's narrow Democratic statewide victories in recent cycles. Sabato's Crystal Ball recently shifted to Lean Democrat, though odds exceed polling-implied probabilities around 55%; the July 21 primary could clarify the matchup before November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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