Trader consensus heavily favors Armenia's ruling Civil Contract party at 89.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary election under the proportional representation system, driven by recent EVN Report/ArmES polls from early April showing the incumbent strengthening its lead to around 34% support amid shifting voter sentiment and consolidation of undecideds (previously 30%). Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party benefits from incumbency advantages and fragmented opposition, with Armenia Alliance distant at 6% odds reflecting its lower polling. Party list submissions close April 23, setting the stage for intensified campaigning, though geopolitical tensions with Azerbaijan could influence turnout; low probabilities for Heritage, Prosperous Armenia, and others underscore their marginal vote shares in surveys.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiErmenistan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Ermenistan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Sivil Sözleşme 90%
Ermenistan İttifakı 6%
Miras 2.1%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi 2.0%
$103,360 Hac.
$103,360 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Sivil Sözleşme
90%
Ermenistan İttifakı
6%
Miras
2%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi
2%
Müreffeh Ermenistan
2%
Orinats Yerkir
2%
Aydınlık Ermenistan
1%
Hanrapetutyun Partisi
1%
Onur İttifakı
<1%
Sivil Sözleşme 90%
Ermenistan İttifakı 6%
Miras 2.1%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi 2.0%
$103,360 Hac.
$103,360 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Sivil Sözleşme
$41,427 Hac.
90%
Ermenistan İttifakı
$49,639 Hac.
6%
Miras
$1,761 Hac.
2%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi
$2,006 Hac.
2%
Müreffeh Ermenistan
$1,554 Hac.
2%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,807 Hac.
2%
Aydınlık Ermenistan
$2,278 Hac.
1%
Hanrapetutyun Partisi
$1,484 Hac.
1%
Onur İttifakı
$1,405 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Armenia's ruling Civil Contract party at 89.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary election under the proportional representation system, driven by recent EVN Report/ArmES polls from early April showing the incumbent strengthening its lead to around 34% support amid shifting voter sentiment and consolidation of undecideds (previously 30%). Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party benefits from incumbency advantages and fragmented opposition, with Armenia Alliance distant at 6% odds reflecting its lower polling. Party list submissions close April 23, setting the stage for intensified campaigning, though geopolitical tensions with Azerbaijan could influence turnout; low probabilities for Heritage, Prosperous Armenia, and others underscore their marginal vote shares in surveys.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Hacim
$103,360Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Armenia's ruling Civil Contract party at 89.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary election under the proportional representation system, driven by recent EVN Report/ArmES polls from early April showing the incumbent strengthening its lead to around 34% support amid shifting voter sentiment and consolidation of undecideds (previously 30%). Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party benefits from incumbency advantages and fragmented opposition, with Armenia Alliance distant at 6% odds reflecting its lower polling. Party list submissions close April 23, setting the stage for intensified campaigning, though geopolitical tensions with Azerbaijan could influence turnout; low probabilities for Heritage, Prosperous Armenia, and others underscore their marginal vote shares in surveys.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Hacim
$103,360Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Armenia's ruling Civil Contract party at 89.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary election under the proportional representation system, driven by recent EVN Report/ArmES polls from early April showing the incumbent strengthening its lead to around 34% support amid shifting voter sentiment and consolidation of undecideds (previously 30%). Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party benefits from incumbency advantages and fragmented opposition, with Armenia Alliance distant at 6% odds reflecting its lower polling. Party list submissions close April 23, setting the stage for intensified campaigning, though geopolitical tensions with Azerbaijan could influence turnout; low probabilities for Heritage, Prosperous Armenia, and others underscore their marginal vote shares in surveys.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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