Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to win the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, reflecting pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with 82–98 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, driven by development initiatives and security measures, combined with opposition fragmentation in the Indian National Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM) and recent defections to BJP, solidified this positioning ahead of the April 9 single-phase polling, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 85%. High pre-poll leads in key constituencies and historical incumbency advantages underpin the 96% implied probability, though results await counting on May 4; rare scenarios like widespread recounts, post-poll alliances, or legal disputes could challenge the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAssam Yasama Meclisi Seçim Kazananı
Assam Yasama Meclisi Seçim Kazananı
BJP 96.2%
INC 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,378 Hac.
$60,378 Hac.
20 May 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.2%
INC 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,378 Hac.
$60,378 Hac.
20 May 2026
BJP
$11,695 Hac.
96%
INC
$7,393 Hac.
3%
AITC
$4,503 Hac.
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,830 Hac.
<1%
NCP
$4,181 Hac.
<1%
AIUDF
$4,917 Hac.
<1%
BPF
$4,458 Hac.
<1%
CPI
$8,605 Hac.
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 Hac.
<1%
AGP
$4,642 Hac.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to win the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, reflecting pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with 82–98 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, driven by development initiatives and security measures, combined with opposition fragmentation in the Indian National Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM) and recent defections to BJP, solidified this positioning ahead of the April 9 single-phase polling, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 85%. High pre-poll leads in key constituencies and historical incumbency advantages underpin the 96% implied probability, though results await counting on May 4; rare scenarios like widespread recounts, post-poll alliances, or legal disputes could challenge the outcome.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Hacim
$60,378Bitiş Tarihi
9 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to win the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, reflecting pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with 82–98 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, driven by development initiatives and security measures, combined with opposition fragmentation in the Indian National Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM) and recent defections to BJP, solidified this positioning ahead of the April 9 single-phase polling, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 85%. High pre-poll leads in key constituencies and historical incumbency advantages underpin the 96% implied probability, though results await counting on May 4; rare scenarios like widespread recounts, post-poll alliances, or legal disputes could challenge the outcome.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Hacim
$60,378Bitiş Tarihi
9 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to win the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, reflecting pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with 82–98 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, driven by development initiatives and security measures, combined with opposition fragmentation in the Indian National Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM) and recent defections to BJP, solidified this positioning ahead of the April 9 single-phase polling, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 85%. High pre-poll leads in key constituencies and historical incumbency advantages underpin the 96% implied probability, though results await counting on May 4; rare scenarios like widespread recounts, post-poll alliances, or legal disputes could challenge the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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