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Siyaset·Microsoft

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Market icon
Siyaset·Microsoft

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

4% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
4% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against federal or state charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the absence of any active DOJ or state investigations, grand jury proceedings, or prosecutorial announcements targeting him. Recent scrutiny stems from House Oversight Committee scheduling a transcribed interview for Gates on June 10 regarding his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein, following document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act; however, this congressional oversight probe does not imply criminal wrongdoing, as no Epstein victims have accused Gates of misconduct and no indictment has followed. A separate Dutch civil lawsuit over COVID-19 vaccine statements remains unrelated to U.S. jurisdiction. Formal charges would require substantial new evidence and procedural steps unlikely within the remaining timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$8,646
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against federal or state charges against Bill Gates by June 30, driven by the absence of any active DOJ or state investigations, grand jury proceedings, or prosecutorial announcements targeting him. Recent scrutiny stems from House Oversight Committee scheduling a transcribed interview for Gates on June 10 regarding his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein, following document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act; however, this congressional oversight probe does not imply criminal wrongdoing, as no Epstein victims have accused Gates of misconduct and no indictment has followed. A separate Dutch civil lawsuit over COVID-19 vaccine statements remains unrelated to U.S. jurisdiction. Formal charges would require substantial new evidence and procedural steps unlikely within the remaining timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$8,646
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bill Gates charged by June 30?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 4%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 4¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 4% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Bill Gates charged by June 30?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Feb 26, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Bill Gates charged by June 30?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bill Gates charged by June 30?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 4%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 4% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Bill Gates charged by June 30?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.