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Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

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Seçimler·Küresel Seçimler

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

GERB-SDS 94.6%

PP–DB 3.3%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,327 Hac.

GERB-SDS 94.6%

PP–DB 3.3%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,327 Hac.

Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

GERB-SDS

$24,898 Hac.

95%

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PP–DB

$7,974 Hac.

3%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PB

$8,458 Hac.

2%

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

DPS

$1,604 Hac.

<1%

Will Velichie (Velichie) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Velichie

$2,145 Hac.

<1%

Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Vazrazhdane

$2,132 Hac.

<1%

Will United Left (BSP) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

BSP

$2,002 Hac.

<1%

Will There is Such a People (ITN) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

ITN

$2,145 Hac.

<1%

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

APS

$3,977 Hac.

<1%

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

MECh

$2,992 Hac.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$58,327
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$58,327
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 10 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 95% ile "GERB-SDS", ardından 3% ile "PP–DB" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 95¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 95% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" toplam $58.3K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 27, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 10 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" için mevcut favori 95% ile "GERB-SDS"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 95% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 3% ile "PP–DB"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.