Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
PP–DB 80%
DPS 15%
Vazrazhdane 5.2%
GERB-SDS 1.4%
$79,508 Hac.
$79,508 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
80%
DPS
15%
Vazrazhdane
5%
GERB-SDS
1%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 80%
DPS 15%
Vazrazhdane 5.2%
GERB-SDS 1.4%
$79,508 Hac.
$79,508 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
$23,579 Hac.
80%
DPS
$12,583 Hac.
15%
Vazrazhdane
$3,033 Hac.
5%
GERB-SDS
$9,484 Hac.
1%
MECh
$3,238 Hac.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Hac.
<1%
ITN
$2,065 Hac.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Hac.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Hacim
$79,508Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$79,508Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular