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Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?

Market icon

Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?

$101,871 Hac.

19 Nis 2026
Polymarket

$101,871 Hac.

Polymarket
Birleşik Sol (BSP), 2026 Bulgaristan parlamento seçimlerinde en az bir sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

BSP

$29,735 Hac.

31%

Ahlak, Birlik, Onur (MECh), 2026 Bulgaristan parlamento seçimlerinde en az bir sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

MECh

$7,020 Hac.

19%

Velichie (Velichie) 2026 Bulgaristan parlamento seçimlerinde en az bir sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

Velichie

$39,492 Hac.

10%

2026 Bulgaristan parlamento seçimlerinde Böyle Bir Halk (ITN) en az bir sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

ITN

$11,764 Hac.

2%

Hak ve Özgürlükler İttifakı (APS) 2026 Bulgaristan parlamento seçimlerinde en az bir sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

APS

$13,863 Hac.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid protests over budget delays and corruption allegations, marking ongoing political deadlock under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 30% (projected 109 seats), followed by GERB-SDS (21%, 57 seats), PP-DB (37 seats), DPS-MRF (21 seats), and Revival (V-ESN, 16 seats), positioning these as likely entrants while smaller parties like BSP hover near the threshold. Authorities are intensifying anti-vote-buying measures and countering reported Russian disinformation with EU support via the EEAS. Coalition formation remains uncertain, as Radev has ruled out pacts with GERB-SDS, MRF, or PP-DB, risking another minority government or fresh polls.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$101,871
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid protests over budget delays and corruption allegations, marking ongoing political deadlock under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 30% (projected 109 seats), followed by GERB-SDS (21%, 57 seats), PP-DB (37 seats), DPS-MRF (21 seats), and Revival (V-ESN, 16 seats), positioning these as likely entrants while smaller parties like BSP hover near the threshold. Authorities are intensifying anti-vote-buying measures and countering reported Russian disinformation with EU support via the EEAS. Coalition formation remains uncertain, as Radev has ruled out pacts with GERB-SDS, MRF, or PP-DB, risking another minority government or fresh polls.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$101,871
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 31% ile "BSP", ardından 19% ile "MECh" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 31¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 31% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?" toplam $101.9K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 27, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?" için mevcut favori 31% ile "BSP"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 31% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 19% ile "MECh"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: Hangi Partiler Parlamentoya Giriyor?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.