Skip to main content
Market icon

CA-22 Primary Winners

Market icon

CA-22 Primary Winners

YENİ
2 Haz 2026
Polymarket

$963 Hac.

Polymarket

David Valadao

$334 Hac.

95%

Randy Villegas

$228 Hac.

55%

Jasmeet Bains

$73 Hac.

45%

Chris Mathys

$0 Hac.

10%

Rudy Salas

$327 Hac.

6%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates early trader consensus with superior fundraising—over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and name recognition from narrow victories in 2022 and 2024 against Rudy Salas, who has withdrawn. Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a state assemblymember and physician, and Randy Villegas, a political science professor and school board member, compete for the second advancement spot, splitting endorsements and activist support in this Central Valley battleground with heavy Hispanic turnout and agriculture interests. Villegas recently challenged both rivals to a televised debate in mid-March, underscoring intra-party tensions, while no new polls have emerged in the past 30 days amid stable race ratings as a toss-up. Early voting begins May 4.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$963
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates early trader consensus with superior fundraising—over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and name recognition from narrow victories in 2022 and 2024 against Rudy Salas, who has withdrawn. Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a state assemblymember and physician, and Randy Villegas, a political science professor and school board member, compete for the second advancement spot, splitting endorsements and activist support in this Central Valley battleground with heavy Hispanic turnout and agriculture interests. Villegas recently challenged both rivals to a televised debate in mid-March, underscoring intra-party tensions, while no new polls have emerged in the past 30 days amid stable race ratings as a toss-up. Early voting begins May 4.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$963
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"CA-22 Primary Winners", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 95% ile "David Valadao", ardından 55% ile "Randy Villegas" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 95¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 95% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"CA-22 Primary Winners" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Dec 11, 2025 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"CA-22 Primary Winners" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"CA-22 Primary Winners" için mevcut favori 95% ile "David Valadao"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 95% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 55% ile "Randy Villegas"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"CA-22 Primary Winners" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.