President Trump's approval ratings have declined to second-term lows of 36-42% in recent national polls from outlets like Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and CNN, reflecting trader consensus on deepening public dissatisfaction. The primary driver is the ongoing U.S. war with Iran, which has fueled gasoline price surges—with 65% of voters blaming Trump—and broader inflation concerns, cratering his economic approval to historic lows around 31%. Even Republican support has eroded, with net approval dropping sharply among his base and key demographics like young voters and Latinos. No major scheduled events loom in late April, but escalation in Iran, economic data releases, or policy responses could push ratings lower before the month's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi39.0%
65%
38.5%
15%
38.0%
15%
37.5%
7%
37.0%
5%
$4,137 Hac.
39.0%
65%
38.5%
15%
38.0%
15%
37.5%
7%
37.0%
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval ratings have declined to second-term lows of 36-42% in recent national polls from outlets like Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and CNN, reflecting trader consensus on deepening public dissatisfaction. The primary driver is the ongoing U.S. war with Iran, which has fueled gasoline price surges—with 65% of voters blaming Trump—and broader inflation concerns, cratering his economic approval to historic lows around 31%. Even Republican support has eroded, with net approval dropping sharply among his base and key demographics like young voters and Latinos. No major scheduled events loom in late April, but escalation in Iran, economic data releases, or policy responses could push ratings lower before the month's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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