Melissa Bean's commanding win in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat—vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid—has entrenched trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic House victory, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean in Chicago's northern suburbs. Bean's prior tenure representing IL-08 from 2005-2011, strong pre-primary fundraising exceeding $1 million, and name recognition contrast with Republican nominee Jennifer Davis's lower profile following her primary advance. Absent post-primary shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, odds remain stable ahead of the November 3 general election in this reliably blue district rated Solid D by forecasters.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$2,046 Hac.
90%
Republican Party
$2,421 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean's commanding win in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat—vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid—has entrenched trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic House victory, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean in Chicago's northern suburbs. Bean's prior tenure representing IL-08 from 2005-2011, strong pre-primary fundraising exceeding $1 million, and name recognition contrast with Republican nominee Jennifer Davis's lower profile following her primary advance. Absent post-primary shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, odds remain stable ahead of the November 3 general election in this reliably blue district rated Solid D by forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$4,467Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean's commanding win in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat—vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid—has entrenched trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic House victory, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean in Chicago's northern suburbs. Bean's prior tenure representing IL-08 from 2005-2011, strong pre-primary fundraising exceeding $1 million, and name recognition contrast with Republican nominee Jennifer Davis's lower profile following her primary advance. Absent post-primary shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, odds remain stable ahead of the November 3 general election in this reliably blue district rated Solid D by forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$4,467Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean's commanding win in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat—vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid—has entrenched trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic House victory, reflecting the district's solid Democratic lean in Chicago's northern suburbs. Bean's prior tenure representing IL-08 from 2005-2011, strong pre-primary fundraising exceeding $1 million, and name recognition contrast with Republican nominee Jennifer Davis's lower profile following her primary advance. Absent post-primary shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, odds remain stable ahead of the November 3 general election in this reliably blue district rated Solid D by forecasters.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular