Trader consensus prices Democratic Party of Korea candidate Park Chan-dae at 93.5% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls since late February showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok by 10-20 points (e.g., 45%-27%, 34%-22%). This commanding position stems from the ruling DPK's national momentum post-Yoon Suk-yeol impeachment, Park's prominence as a three-term lawmaker and early sole nominee (March 4), contrasted with Yoo's election law violation charges and narrower path despite 56% approval for his administration. With nominations set and minor candidates fading, realistic challengers include a Park scandal, Yoo incumbency rally via policy pledges like housing, or national polling shifts before early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIncheon Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
Incheon Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.7%
Kim Kyo-heung 1.0%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$2,474,417 Hac.
$2,474,417 Hac.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.7%
Kim Kyo-heung 1.0%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$2,474,417 Hac.
$2,474,417 Hac.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party of Korea candidate Park Chan-dae at 93.5% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls since late February showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok by 10-20 points (e.g., 45%-27%, 34%-22%). This commanding position stems from the ruling DPK's national momentum post-Yoon Suk-yeol impeachment, Park's prominence as a three-term lawmaker and early sole nominee (March 4), contrasted with Yoo's election law violation charges and narrower path despite 56% approval for his administration. With nominations set and minor candidates fading, realistic challengers include a Park scandal, Yoo incumbency rally via policy pledges like housing, or national polling shifts before early voting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular