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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Ralph Alvarado 65%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 8.2%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,504 Hac.

Ralph Alvarado 65%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 8.2%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,504 Hac.

Ralph Alvarado

$6,847 Hac.

63%

Ryan Dotson

$7,661 Hac.

11%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,426 Hac.

8%

Greg Plucinski

$687 Hac.

5%

Gavin Solomon

$882 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, drawing a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the May 19 closed primary. State Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability, bolstered by his prior legislative experience, alignment with President Trump, and a key endorsement last week from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce signaling business support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson trails at 11.5% after a February debate where both frontrunners agreed on Trump policies, while lesser-known challengers like Adam Perez Arquette (9.8%) and Greg Plucinski (4.5%) lag amid limited polling or fundraising edges for Alvarado. Recent candidate forums underscore conservative credentials as key differentiators.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$17,504
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, drawing a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the May 19 closed primary. State Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability, bolstered by his prior legislative experience, alignment with President Trump, and a key endorsement last week from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce signaling business support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson trails at 11.5% after a February debate where both frontrunners agreed on Trump policies, while lesser-known challengers like Adam Perez Arquette (9.8%) and Greg Plucinski (4.5%) lag amid limited polling or fundraising edges for Alvarado. Recent candidate forums underscore conservative credentials as key differentiators.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$17,504
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 63% ile "Ralph Alvarado", ardından 11% ile "Ryan Dotson" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 63¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 63% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" toplam $17.5K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 18, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 63% ile "Ralph Alvarado"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 63% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 11% ile "Ryan Dotson"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.