Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability for the Los Angeles mayoral primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her surge in a March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 32.5% support after providing candidate descriptions, amid incumbent Karen Bass's 56% unfavorability rating and trailing at 17%. Spencer Pratt's 22.5% reflects celebrity buzz from reality TV and Palisades Fire activism, tempered by April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating to Santa Barbara County. Bass holds 20% despite leading earlier Berkeley IGS and UCLA polls at 25%, with 40% undecided voters highlighting a fluid race vulnerable to upcoming endorsements and policy announcements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiLos Angeles Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri
Los Angeles Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri
Nithya Raman 44%
Spencer Pratt 23%
Karen Bass 20%
Rae Huang 4.6%
$898,307 Hac.
$898,307 Hac.
2 Haz 2026
Nithya Raman
44%
Spencer Pratt
23%
Karen Bass
20%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 44%
Spencer Pratt 23%
Karen Bass 20%
Rae Huang 4.6%
$898,307 Hac.
$898,307 Hac.
2 Haz 2026
Nithya Raman
$14,554 Hac.
44%
Spencer Pratt
$107,396 Hac.
23%
Karen Bass
$28,963 Hac.
20%
Rae Huang
$50,744 Hac.
5%
Adam Miller
$92,171 Hac.
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
$51,930 Hac.
1%
Gina Viola
$84,280 Hac.
<1%
Austin Beutner
$10,364 Hac.
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
$7,410 Hac.
<1%
Rick Caruso
$430,298 Hac.
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
$20,208 Hac.
<1%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability for the Los Angeles mayoral primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her surge in a March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 32.5% support after providing candidate descriptions, amid incumbent Karen Bass's 56% unfavorability rating and trailing at 17%. Spencer Pratt's 22.5% reflects celebrity buzz from reality TV and Palisades Fire activism, tempered by April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating to Santa Barbara County. Bass holds 20% despite leading earlier Berkeley IGS and UCLA polls at 25%, with 40% undecided voters highlighting a fluid race vulnerable to upcoming endorsements and policy announcements.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Hacim
$898,307Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability for the Los Angeles mayoral primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her surge in a March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 32.5% support after providing candidate descriptions, amid incumbent Karen Bass's 56% unfavorability rating and trailing at 17%. Spencer Pratt's 22.5% reflects celebrity buzz from reality TV and Palisades Fire activism, tempered by April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating to Santa Barbara County. Bass holds 20% despite leading earlier Berkeley IGS and UCLA polls at 25%, with 40% undecided voters highlighting a fluid race vulnerable to upcoming endorsements and policy announcements.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Hacim
$898,307Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability for the Los Angeles mayoral primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her surge in a March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 32.5% support after providing candidate descriptions, amid incumbent Karen Bass's 56% unfavorability rating and trailing at 17%. Spencer Pratt's 22.5% reflects celebrity buzz from reality TV and Palisades Fire activism, tempered by April 6 reports questioning his residency eligibility after relocating to Santa Barbara County. Bass holds 20% despite leading earlier Berkeley IGS and UCLA polls at 25%, with 40% undecided voters highlighting a fluid race vulnerable to upcoming endorsements and policy announcements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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