French President Emmanuel Macron's tenure faces persistent challenges from a fragmented National Assembly following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple prime ministerial resignations and no-confidence motions, including those defeated in January 2026 over budget disputes and EU-MERCOSUR trade deals. No major catalysts for his early exit—via resignation, impeachment requiring supermajority approval, or other means—have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent focus on diplomatic efforts like his April 10 Vatican meeting with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions and calls to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects low probability of change before June 30, amid constitutional protections insulating the presidency until May 2027, though renewed budget votes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$1,903,553 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
30 Haziran 2026
2%
$1,903,553 Hac.
30 Haziran 2026
$311,708 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's tenure faces persistent challenges from a fragmented National Assembly following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple prime ministerial resignations and no-confidence motions, including those defeated in January 2026 over budget disputes and EU-MERCOSUR trade deals. No major catalysts for his early exit—via resignation, impeachment requiring supermajority approval, or other means—have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent focus on diplomatic efforts like his April 10 Vatican meeting with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions and calls to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects low probability of change before June 30, amid constitutional protections insulating the presidency until May 2027, though renewed budget votes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Hacim
$1,903,553Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's tenure faces persistent challenges from a fragmented National Assembly following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple prime ministerial resignations and no-confidence motions, including those defeated in January 2026 over budget disputes and EU-MERCOSUR trade deals. No major catalysts for his early exit—via resignation, impeachment requiring supermajority approval, or other means—have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent focus on diplomatic efforts like his April 10 Vatican meeting with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions and calls to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects low probability of change before June 30, amid constitutional protections insulating the presidency until May 2027, though renewed budget votes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$1,903,553Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's tenure faces persistent challenges from a fragmented National Assembly following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple prime ministerial resignations and no-confidence motions, including those defeated in January 2026 over budget disputes and EU-MERCOSUR trade deals. No major catalysts for his early exit—via resignation, impeachment requiring supermajority approval, or other means—have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent focus on diplomatic efforts like his April 10 Vatican meeting with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions and calls to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects low probability of change before June 30, amid constitutional protections insulating the presidency until May 2027, though renewed budget votes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular