Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen: 34% (INSA/Nordkurier, March 2026), 37% (Forsa/Ostsee-Zeitung, February), and 35% (Infratest dimap/NDR, January), versus incumbent SPD at 26%, 23%, and 25% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's dominance in this eastern state stems from ongoing voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Linke coalition amid economic pressures and national trends boosting right-wing support. SPD has gained slightly in polls, narrowing the gap modestly, but barriers to an AfD plurality remain low under proportional representation; late campaign dynamics or scandals could still shift probabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMecklenburg - Vorpommern Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
Mecklenburg - Vorpommern Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Hac.
$199,632 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
AfD
84%
SPD
11%
CDU
2%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
BSW
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
Grüne <1%
$199,632 Hac.
$199,632 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
AfD
$5,711 Hac.
84%
SPD
$34,370 Hac.
11%
CDU
$26,439 Hac.
2%
Grüne
$50,910 Hac.
<1%
FDP
$45,919 Hac.
<1%
Linke
$7,218 Hac.
<1%
BSW
$10,350 Hac.
<1%
FW
$18,715 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen: 34% (INSA/Nordkurier, March 2026), 37% (Forsa/Ostsee-Zeitung, February), and 35% (Infratest dimap/NDR, January), versus incumbent SPD at 26%, 23%, and 25% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's dominance in this eastern state stems from ongoing voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Linke coalition amid economic pressures and national trends boosting right-wing support. SPD has gained slightly in polls, narrowing the gap modestly, but barriers to an AfD plurality remain low under proportional representation; late campaign dynamics or scandals could still shift probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Hacim
$199,632Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen: 34% (INSA/Nordkurier, March 2026), 37% (Forsa/Ostsee-Zeitung, February), and 35% (Infratest dimap/NDR, January), versus incumbent SPD at 26%, 23%, and 25% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's dominance in this eastern state stems from ongoing voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Linke coalition amid economic pressures and national trends boosting right-wing support. SPD has gained slightly in polls, narrowing the gap modestly, but barriers to an AfD plurality remain low under proportional representation; late campaign dynamics or scandals could still shift probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Hacim
$199,632Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen: 34% (INSA/Nordkurier, March 2026), 37% (Forsa/Ostsee-Zeitung, February), and 35% (Infratest dimap/NDR, January), versus incumbent SPD at 26%, 23%, and 25% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's dominance in this eastern state stems from ongoing voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Linke coalition amid economic pressures and national trends boosting right-wing support. SPD has gained slightly in polls, narrowing the gap modestly, but barriers to an AfD plurality remain low under proportional representation; late campaign dynamics or scandals could still shift probabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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