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Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jocelyn Benson 84%

Chris Swanson 14.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki 1.2%

Polymarket
YENİ

Jocelyn Benson 84%

Chris Swanson 14.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki 1.2%

Polymarket
YENİ

Jocelyn Benson

$4,017 Hac.

84%

Chris Swanson

$749 Hac.

14%

Garlin Gilchrist

$779 Hac.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$710 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4, 2026, Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her internal Impact Research polling showing a commanding lead among Democrats, superior fundraising totals reported in February, and a key endorsement on April 13 from former Governor Jim Blanchard. Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson trails at 14.6% as the primary challenger, drawing on his law enforcement profile amid a thinned field after Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist suspended his bid in January to seek the Secretary of State nomination instead. Lesser-known candidates Marni Sawicki and Gilchrist linger at low odds, reflecting limited polling support and name recognition. Recent general election surveys, like the March 23-29 Impact Research poll placing Benson ahead of Republican John James, reinforce her frontrunner status, though turnout in key Democratic strongholds and any late scandals could shift dynamics before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$6,256
Bitiş Tarihi
4 Ağu 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4, 2026, Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her internal Impact Research polling showing a commanding lead among Democrats, superior fundraising totals reported in February, and a key endorsement on April 13 from former Governor Jim Blanchard. Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson trails at 14.6% as the primary challenger, drawing on his law enforcement profile amid a thinned field after Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist suspended his bid in January to seek the Secretary of State nomination instead. Lesser-known candidates Marni Sawicki and Gilchrist linger at low odds, reflecting limited polling support and name recognition. Recent general election surveys, like the March 23-29 Impact Research poll placing Benson ahead of Republican John James, reinforce her frontrunner status, though turnout in key Democratic strongholds and any late scandals could shift dynamics before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$6,256
Bitiş Tarihi
4 Ağu 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 84% ile "Jocelyn Benson", ardından 14% ile "Chris Swanson" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 84¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 84% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Dec 10, 2025 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 84% ile "Jocelyn Benson"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 84% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 14% ile "Chris Swanson"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.