Incumbent Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Herman Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats to win Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report, features a majority-Black electorate and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage, historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins despite Republican nominee Ron Eller's primary win. No recent polling shows competitive general election dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, Thompson's health issues at age 78, or unforeseen turnout surges in this midterm cycle.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$800 Hac.
92%
Republican Party
$617 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Herman Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats to win Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report, features a majority-Black electorate and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage, historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins despite Republican nominee Ron Eller's primary win. No recent polling shows competitive general election dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, Thompson's health issues at age 78, or unforeseen turnout surges in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Hacim
$1,417Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Herman Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats to win Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report, features a majority-Black electorate and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage, historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins despite Republican nominee Ron Eller's primary win. No recent polling shows competitive general election dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, Thompson's health issues at age 78, or unforeseen turnout surges in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$1,417Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Herman Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats to win Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report, features a majority-Black electorate and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage, historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins despite Republican nominee Ron Eller's primary win. No recent polling shows competitive general election dynamics, reinforcing the safe seat status. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, Thompson's health issues at age 78, or unforeseen turnout surges in this midterm cycle.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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