Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNew Mexico Valisi Seçimini Kazanan
New Mexico Valisi Seçimini Kazanan
$20,098 Hac.
$20,098 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
87%
Cumhuriyetçi
10%
$20,098 Hac.
$20,098 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
$14,567 Hac.
87%
Cumhuriyetçi
$5,532 Hac.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Hacim
$20,098Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$20,098Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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