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Seçimler·Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri

Newark Mayoral Election

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Seçimler·Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Noble Milton <1%

Polymarket

$13,982 Hac.

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Noble Milton <1%

Polymarket

$13,982 Hac.

Ras Baraka

$3,171 Hac.

95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$859 Hac.

1%

Douglas Davis

$869 Hac.

1%

Noble Milton

$2,986 Hac.

1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$963 Hac.

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,308 Hac.

1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$981 Hac.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$965 Hac.

<1%

Debra Salters

$972 Hac.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$909 Hac.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% implied probability in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting trader consensus on his unchallenged path to a fourth term amid a weak field of eight challengers, including Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis, certified after the February 26 filing deadline. Recent developments reinforcing his position include Baraka's April 1 rally at NJPAC touting 12 years of achievements, such as record-low homicide rates not seen since the 1950s and ongoing economic initiatives like the Neighborhood Branding rollout on April 14. Absent polling data showing upset potential, traders price minimal risk, though late scandals, fraud allegations prompting a March 31 DOJ monitoring request, or low turnout could theoretically boost a protest vote. Voter registration closes April 21, with early voting soon after.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Hacim
$13,982
Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 94.5% implied probability in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting trader consensus on his unchallenged path to a fourth term amid a weak field of eight challengers, including Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis, certified after the February 26 filing deadline. Recent developments reinforcing his position include Baraka's April 1 rally at NJPAC touting 12 years of achievements, such as record-low homicide rates not seen since the 1950s and ongoing economic initiatives like the Neighborhood Branding rollout on April 14. Absent polling data showing upset potential, traders price minimal risk, though late scandals, fraud allegations prompting a March 31 DOJ monitoring request, or low turnout could theoretically boost a protest vote. Voter registration closes April 21, with early voting soon after.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Hacim
$13,982
Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Newark Mayoral Election", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 10 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 95% ile "Ras Baraka", ardından 1% ile "Asha Coates-Hamlet" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 95¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 95% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Newark Mayoral Election" toplam $14K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 10, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Newark Mayoral Election" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 10 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Newark Mayoral Election" için mevcut favori 95% ile "Ras Baraka"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 95% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 1% ile "Asha Coates-Hamlet"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Newark Mayoral Election" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.