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Seçimler·PRIMARIEL

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Seçimler·PRIMARIEL

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 2.7%

Polymarket

$12,408 Hac.

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 2.7%

Polymarket

$12,408 Hac.

Stefany Shaheen

$7,576 Hac.

54%

Maura Sullivan

$3,216 Hac.

27%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,317 Hac.

10%

Heath Howard

$300 Hac.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Stefany Shaheen a 53% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling leads—such as 23% to Maura Sullivan's 9% in recent surveys—and strong name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, alongside consolidating establishment support. Sullivan holds 26.5% amid her fundraising dominance, outpacing Shaheen in quarterly reports through Q1 2026, signaling potential to close the gap in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas for Senate. Carleigh Beriont's 10.5% reflects local appeal as Hampton select board member, while Heath Howard lags at 2.5%. No major developments in the past 30 days; upcoming debates and FEC filings could influence undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$12,408
Bitiş Tarihi
8 Eyl 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Stefany Shaheen a 53% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling leads—such as 23% to Maura Sullivan's 9% in recent surveys—and strong name recognition as daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, alongside consolidating establishment support. Sullivan holds 26.5% amid her fundraising dominance, outpacing Shaheen in quarterly reports through Q1 2026, signaling potential to close the gap in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas for Senate. Carleigh Beriont's 10.5% reflects local appeal as Hampton select board member, while Heath Howard lags at 2.5%. No major developments in the past 30 days; upcoming debates and FEC filings could influence undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$12,408
Bitiş Tarihi
8 Eyl 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 54% ile "Stefany Shaheen", ardından 27% ile "Maura Sullivan" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 54¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 54% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $12.4K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 54% ile "Stefany Shaheen"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 54% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 27% ile "Maura Sullivan"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.