**Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections confirm Pacto Histórico (PH) won 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate through proportional representation on the national list, positioning it as the largest bloc short of a majority.** Final tallies reported by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, with over 99% of precincts counted by late March and minor adjustments into April, have solidified trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 22.72% vote share amid stable allocations. While no majority emerged—Democratic Centre took 17 seats—potential challenges include legal appeals over closely contested curules or late vote recoveries, though these face high barriers given finalized escrutinio. The new Congress convenes July 20 ahead of May presidential polls.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
<18 <1%
$121,594 Hac.
$121,594 Hac.
8 Mar 2026
<18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
97%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
<18 <1%
$121,594 Hac.
$121,594 Hac.
8 Mar 2026
<18
$15,104 Hac.
<1%
18-20
$16,574 Hac.
<1%
21-23
$12,613 Hac.
<1%
24-26
$28,686 Hac.
97%
27-29
$30,529 Hac.
1%
30+
$18,088 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections confirm Pacto Histórico (PH) won 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate through proportional representation on the national list, positioning it as the largest bloc short of a majority.** Final tallies reported by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, with over 99% of precincts counted by late March and minor adjustments into April, have solidified trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 22.72% vote share amid stable allocations. While no majority emerged—Democratic Centre took 17 seats—potential challenges include legal appeals over closely contested curules or late vote recoveries, though these face high barriers given finalized escrutinio. The new Congress convenes July 20 ahead of May presidential polls.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Hacim
$121,594Bitiş Tarihi
8 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections confirm Pacto Histórico (PH) won 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate through proportional representation on the national list, positioning it as the largest bloc short of a majority.** Final tallies reported by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, with over 99% of precincts counted by late March and minor adjustments into April, have solidified trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 22.72% vote share amid stable allocations. While no majority emerged—Democratic Centre took 17 seats—potential challenges include legal appeals over closely contested curules or late vote recoveries, though these face high barriers given finalized escrutinio. The new Congress convenes July 20 ahead of May presidential polls.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Hacim
$121,594Bitiş Tarihi
8 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections confirm Pacto Histórico (PH) won 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate through proportional representation on the national list, positioning it as the largest bloc short of a majority.** Final tallies reported by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, with over 99% of precincts counted by late March and minor adjustments into April, have solidified trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 22.72% vote share amid stable allocations. While no majority emerged—Democratic Centre took 17 seats—potential challenges include legal appeals over closely contested curules or late vote recoveries, though these face high barriers given finalized escrutinio. The new Congress convenes July 20 ahead of May presidential polls.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular