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OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·ICE

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin 79%

Madison Sheahan 24%

Josh Williams 6.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

Derek Merrin 79%

Madison Sheahan 24%

Josh Williams 6.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

Derek Merrin

$3,011 Hac.

72%

Madison Sheahan

$2,430 Hac.

24%

Josh Williams

$774 Hac.

15%

Alea Nadeem

$853 Hac.

13%

Anthony Campbell

$516 Hac.

2%

Wayne Kinsel

$483 Hac.

1%

Jacob Frost

$678 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding trader consensus at 78% in the OH-09 Republican primary stems from his strong name recognition as the 2024 nominee who narrowly lost to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, bolstered by his eight-year record as a conservative Ohio state representative and prior endorsements from figures like former President Trump and Speaker Johnson. Recent candidate forums, including one this week, have showcased his experience against challengers like state Rep. Josh Williams, who leads in recent quarterly fundraising and reports knocking over 3,000 doors, and former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan, highlighting border security. A resurfaced photo of Merrin with disgraced ex-Rep. Wes Goodman has failed to shift odds significantly ahead of the May 5 primary, with early in-person voting underway in this redrawn, more Republican-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$8,745
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding trader consensus at 78% in the OH-09 Republican primary stems from his strong name recognition as the 2024 nominee who narrowly lost to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, bolstered by his eight-year record as a conservative Ohio state representative and prior endorsements from figures like former President Trump and Speaker Johnson. Recent candidate forums, including one this week, have showcased his experience against challengers like state Rep. Josh Williams, who leads in recent quarterly fundraising and reports knocking over 3,000 doors, and former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan, highlighting border security. A resurfaced photo of Merrin with disgraced ex-Rep. Wes Goodman has failed to shift odds significantly ahead of the May 5 primary, with early in-person voting underway in this redrawn, more Republican-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$8,745
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 7 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 72% ile "Derek Merrin", ardından 24% ile "Madison Sheahan" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 72¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 72% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Jan 21, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 7 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 72% ile "Derek Merrin"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 72% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 24% ile "Madison Sheahan"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.