Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 12 showing Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, have solidified trader consensus around a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary, reflecting the 76% implied probability for Dem-Rep. The Republican Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension on April 11 amid sexual assault allegations shifted Democratic support toward Steyer and Katie Porter, narrowing the gap despite President Trump's April 6 endorsement of Hilton and GOP convention splits favoring Hilton and Chad Bianco. California's Democratic voter registration edge and fragmented fields make Dem-Dem viable at 21% if Republicans split votes further, while Rep-Rep remains unlikely at 3.4% given historical top-two dynamics favoring the majority party.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDem-Rep 76%
Dem-Dem 21%
Rep-Rep 3.4%
$57,349 Hac.
$57,349 Hac.
2 Haz 2026
Dem-Rep
76%
Dem-Dem
21%
Rep-Rep
3%
Dem-Rep 76%
Dem-Dem 21%
Rep-Rep 3.4%
$57,349 Hac.
$57,349 Hac.
2 Haz 2026
Dem-Rep
$24,665 Hac.
76%
Dem-Dem
$24,707 Hac.
21%
Rep-Rep
$7,977 Hac.
3%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 12 showing Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, have solidified trader consensus around a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary, reflecting the 76% implied probability for Dem-Rep. The Republican Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension on April 11 amid sexual assault allegations shifted Democratic support toward Steyer and Katie Porter, narrowing the gap despite President Trump's April 6 endorsement of Hilton and GOP convention splits favoring Hilton and Chad Bianco. California's Democratic voter registration edge and fragmented fields make Dem-Dem viable at 21% if Republicans split votes further, while Rep-Rep remains unlikely at 3.4% given historical top-two dynamics favoring the majority party.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Hacim
$57,349Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 12 showing Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, have solidified trader consensus around a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary, reflecting the 76% implied probability for Dem-Rep. The Republican Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension on April 11 amid sexual assault allegations shifted Democratic support toward Steyer and Katie Porter, narrowing the gap despite President Trump's April 6 endorsement of Hilton and GOP convention splits favoring Hilton and Chad Bianco. California's Democratic voter registration edge and fragmented fields make Dem-Dem viable at 21% if Republicans split votes further, while Rep-Rep remains unlikely at 3.4% given historical top-two dynamics favoring the majority party.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Hacim
$57,349Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 12 showing Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, have solidified trader consensus around a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing from California's June 2 top-two primary, reflecting the 76% implied probability for Dem-Rep. The Republican Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension on April 11 amid sexual assault allegations shifted Democratic support toward Steyer and Katie Porter, narrowing the gap despite President Trump's April 6 endorsement of Hilton and GOP convention splits favoring Hilton and Chad Bianco. California's Democratic voter registration edge and fragmented fields make Dem-Dem viable at 21% if Republicans split votes further, while Rep-Rep remains unlikely at 3.4% given historical top-two dynamics favoring the majority party.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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