Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2028'den önce halka arz yok 37%
50B–75B 20.5%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Hac.
$130,513 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<20M$
4%
20–30 Milyar Dolar
3%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
15%
50B–75B
21%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
7%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
37%
2028'den önce halka arz yok 37%
50B–75B 20.5%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Hac.
$130,513 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<20M$
$4,428 Hac.
4%
20–30 Milyar Dolar
$5,845 Hac.
3%
30B–40B
$0 Hac.
4%
40B–50B
$0 Hac.
15%
50B–75B
$6,171 Hac.
21%
75B–100B
$3,258 Hac.
10%
100B+
$4,500 Hac.
7%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
$106,312 Hac.
37%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Hacim
$130,513Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$130,513Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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