Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic (73% implied probability) to claim the #3 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 30, driven by the recent launch of Claude Opus 4.6 variants, which captured the top two positions with Arena Scores of 1502 and 1496 as of April 14. This advancement in large language model capabilities, emphasizing substance over stylistic flair via style control, has solidified Anthropic's competitive edge amid volatile rankings. Meta trails at 19.5% as the current preliminary #3 with muse-spark (1495), vulnerable to shifts from Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview or OpenAI's GPT-5.4 updates. With two weeks left, watch for model refreshes or benchmark battles that could reorder the top tier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnthropic 73%
Meta 19%
Google 4.0%
OpenAI 3.6%
$52,313 Hac.
$52,313 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
73%
Meta
19%
4%
OpenAI
4%
xAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 73%
Meta 19%
Google 4.0%
OpenAI 3.6%
$52,313 Hac.
$52,313 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
$12,325 Hac.
73%
Meta
$2,004 Hac.
19%
$6,035 Hac.
4%
OpenAI
$2,796 Hac.
4%
xAI
$4,336 Hac.
1%
Alibaba
$2,296 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,464 Hac.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,129 Hac.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,617 Hac.
<1%
Mistral
$2,519 Hac.
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 Hac.
<1%
Moonshot
$3,087 Hac.
<1%
Baidu
$1,930 Hac.
<1%
Amazon
$3,765 Hac.
<1%
Microsoft
$102 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic (73% implied probability) to claim the #3 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 30, driven by the recent launch of Claude Opus 4.6 variants, which captured the top two positions with Arena Scores of 1502 and 1496 as of April 14. This advancement in large language model capabilities, emphasizing substance over stylistic flair via style control, has solidified Anthropic's competitive edge amid volatile rankings. Meta trails at 19.5% as the current preliminary #3 with muse-spark (1495), vulnerable to shifts from Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview or OpenAI's GPT-5.4 updates. With two weeks left, watch for model refreshes or benchmark battles that could reorder the top tier.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Hacim
$52,313Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic (73% implied probability) to claim the #3 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 30, driven by the recent launch of Claude Opus 4.6 variants, which captured the top two positions with Arena Scores of 1502 and 1496 as of April 14. This advancement in large language model capabilities, emphasizing substance over stylistic flair via style control, has solidified Anthropic's competitive edge amid volatile rankings. Meta trails at 19.5% as the current preliminary #3 with muse-spark (1495), vulnerable to shifts from Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview or OpenAI's GPT-5.4 updates. With two weeks left, watch for model refreshes or benchmark battles that could reorder the top tier.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$52,313Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic (73% implied probability) to claim the #3 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 30, driven by the recent launch of Claude Opus 4.6 variants, which captured the top two positions with Arena Scores of 1502 and 1496 as of April 14. This advancement in large language model capabilities, emphasizing substance over stylistic flair via style control, has solidified Anthropic's competitive edge amid volatile rankings. Meta trails at 19.5% as the current preliminary #3 with muse-spark (1495), vulnerable to shifts from Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview or OpenAI's GPT-5.4 updates. With two weeks left, watch for model refreshes or benchmark battles that could reorder the top tier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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